Macro Insights × Data Science

The next generation of investment research

Fusing unique macro insights with rigorous data science.

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Research Suite

Proprietary models & indicators

Each product blends market expertise with machine learning, designed to surface actionable signals across asset allocation, sector rotation, risk, and stock selection.

Allocation

Real Asset Allocation

Proprietary trend ranking plus ML-based optimization. Scale into and out of positions with built-in stop-loss while staying diversified across the strongest assets.

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Stock Selection

Full-Cycle Trend

Top 20 S&P 500 stocks selected monthly on a proprietary blend of Quality and Trend factors with built-in turnover controls.

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Sentiment

Daily Sentiment Composite

A single daily reading that combines ETF volumes, CTA flows, vol-target positioning, survey data, and options activity to gauge whether the crowd is too bullish or too bearish.

GPU Analytics

On-Demand Availability Index

Real-time GPU availability tracked daily across cloud providers. A proprietary signal for AI compute demand and infrastructure capacity.

Commodities

Crude Oil

Daily-updated model driven by fundamentals, positioning, and macro indicators. ML combines and weights them with full transparency.

Commodities

Gold

Daily-updated model tracking real rates, flows, and central bank demand. Market expertise selects the indicators; ML optimizes the weights.

Sectors

Sector Rotation

Sector selection based on Trend, Flows, and Tactical ML. Precise weights rebalanced monthly and benchmarked to the S&P 500.

Risk

S&P 500 Drawdown Risk

Dozens of indicators across Macro, Vol, Technicals, and Valuations, synthesized via ML to predict the probability of a 10%+ drawdown next month.

  • Probabilistic, not binary
  • Four broad indicator categories
✦ New

Meet Caliban

3Fourteen's AI research agent. Ask questions, run studies, and explore our data, all on the fly. Caliban brings the depth of institutional research to a conversational interface.

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What three-year period most closely resembles the AI era (2023–2025)?
Based on our historical composite analysis, the 1994–1997 period is the closest analogue. Similar tech-driven euphoria, rising rates absorbed by earnings growth, and a broadening rally into year three.
Show me the equity curve comparison.
⟳ Running composite study... pulling equity curves for 1994–1997 vs 2023–2025.

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